hour and half ago to the statements of Foreign Minister D'Alema have been rejected in the Senate in favor
158 (a quorum was 160)
136 against 24 abstentions
My humble opinion:
D'Alema announced that if had not been approved the government's foreign policy, the government would fall, or better way to re-launch as a leader of any new government (for more undeniably pleasing to Berlusconi)
comes the time of the vote: All or almost the Senate on foreign policy today is okay, that tantevvero Calderoli initially proposed a motion in which says
"The Senate, after checking the continuity 'of the line of foreign policy so far adopted by the government even in the community' Atlantic approves it."
Basically it is a defect of form ... The parties called maximalist voted the motion except for 2 people. The motion was approved by a decent majority, but it was not quorum. All agreed on the same thing, but not have approved it. From point out the great opposition of FI, AN, who in order to bring down the government does not approve the foreign policy that is equal to their previous.
After the ritual declarations of vote, abstentions "consistency" of someone (2 senators PRC), the betrayal of someone else (the obese De Gregorio) the work of government is rejected.
is interesting to note that everything goes as planned:
1) The centrists want a reshuffle, a "Grand Coalition", a government similar to the penta dear that for years has ruled and ruined Italy.
2) The right to demand the government resign and new elections. They meet in a hurry by Berlusconi, who at the CDL insegerà how to credere che al paese che il governo è caduto, è abusivo ecc ecc.
3) PRC,PDCI, Verdi chiedono un tavolo di discussione.
4) Prodi salirà a riferire al Quirinale.
5) I TG partono con edizioni straordinarie, e danno come al solito voce ai politici, che ogni giorno ci massacrano gli attributi con le loro idee.
Ora ecco le mie previsioni con relativa quote (tanto per buttarla a discorso da "BAR SPORT")
Il governo, che seppur tra tante difficoltà e stenti, e omissioni sulle aspettative del popolo, sta facendo benino :
a) NON CADE - 1.70
b) NON CADE e D'Alema si dimette - 1.60
Si avrà un nuovo governo:
c) With a rimpastone-style centrist - 4.00
d) a result of new elections - 8.00
d1) if so Berlusconi's victory is given to 1.40
PS I would vote Antonio di Pietro in If new elections!
I hope that this government will not fall ... Italy needs continuity and reform.
reforms are progressing at a snail's pace ... but it's still better than nothing ... more alternatives when there are none.
look bets: D
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